|Title:||Introduction of a model simulation program and its application in a demonstrative expert system to predict optimal spraying time for pest: PopModel 1.5 and Pest Forecast System||Authors:||Kyung San Choi||Keywords:||model;simulation;protection;PopModel 1.5;pest forecast system||Issue Date:||Apr-2018||Publisher:||農業試驗所||Related Publication(s):||農業試驗所特刊第215號||Start page/Pages:||227-243||Source:||Proceedings of the 2018 International Symposium on Proactive Technologies for Enhancement of Integrated Pest Management of Key Crops (E-book)||Conference:||2018 強化作物關鍵有害生物整合管理之前瞻技術國際研討會
Proceedings of the 2018 International Symposium on Proactive Technologies for Enhancement of Integrated Pest Management of Key Crops
Three major frequently asked questions from farmers are about identification of the
pest, an optimal pesticide spraying schedule, and the most effective pesticide for the
targeted pest. Various protection calendars for each major crop have been provided.
However, climate changes and the innovative development in the information
techniques (ITs) are uprising and making those protection calendars useless. Recent ITs
expand in various field with a name of techniques, e.g., Bid data, Iot, AI, etc in order
to automate machine, link information between machines, and help human’s decisionmaking.
However, the prediction of the pest occurrence and its damage in a crop is not
easily done with these new techniques because the prediction is the new frontier that
those techniques are employed to approach and overcome. More than three decades
have been passed since the theoretical base of the pest model and algorithm for
computing process on it were initiated. There is still no usable pest forecast system
available for the growers mainly due to the lack of the techniques that can be easily
simulated. I used a new concept for creating models with own calculation system and
those are incorporated into a simulation program, Popmodel 1.5., with the simulation
engine of PopModel 1.5. An expert system for managing pests are demonstrated with
a program system called the Pest Forecast System. The Techniques in PopModel 1.5
and the visualized example of the Pest Forecast System will help open a new era in
|Appears in Collections:||應用動物組|
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